Demographic Change as Opportunity or Constraint for Technological Development and Economic Growth in Cities of Serbia
Apstrakt
Demographic change, technological development and economic growth are seen in the group
of the largest global challenges nowadays. Even though it might not be intentional, they are interconnected and play role of cause and consequence for each other. The nexus between demographics and technology and their interactions have the power to stimulate or to hinder growth, therefore the question what features demographic structure should have in order to push technology and economy forward is relevant to answer.
Since the time known to humanity, global population increases. The increase has been also growing, meaning that humanity needed less and less time to reach additional billion – the 2 billionth, 3 billionth, 4 billionth, 5 billionth, and the 6 billionth took 123, 33, 14, 13, and 12 years, respectively. But, for the 7 billionth the humanity took 13 years, in addition to an estimation that the total population of the Earth will stop growing within the lifespan of people who live today.... In addition, OECD estimates that there is going to be 51 elderly per 100 individuals of working age, which is only one among arguments proving another aspect of demographic change – aging population.
This paper aims at better understating of relations between demography, technology and economy in urban context of Serbia. Statistical data at the level of cities, as they are defined by the Law on Territorial Organization of the Republic of Serbia (2007), are analysed regarding all three aspects, including depopulation, population aging, education structure, working population capacity, employment in technology, etc. The analysed sections of data are interpreted in mutual correlation, thus indicating features of demographic change and their expected outcomes in technology and economics.
Ključne reči:
demographic change / demografske promene / technological development / tehnološki razvoj / economic growth / ekonomski rast / future of cities / budućnost gradova / Serbia / SrbijaIzvor:
International Scientific Conference: e-Future of Cities, 24-24 October 2019, Belgrade, Serbia, 2019, 391-404Izdavač:
- Belgrade : Academy of Engineering Sciences of Serbia
- Belgrade : University of Belgrade - Faculty of Geography
Finansiranje / projekti:
- Održivi prostorni razvoj Podunavlja u Srbiji (RS-MESTD-Technological Development (TD or TR)-36036)
- Uloga i implementacija državnog prostornog plana i regionalnih razvojnih dokumenata u obnovi strateškog istraživanja, mišljenja i upravljanja u Srbiji (RS-MESTD-Integrated and Interdisciplinary Research (IIR or III)-47014)
Napomena:
- Editor: Borislav Stojkov
Grupa
RAUmPlanTY - CONF AU - Pantić, Marijana AU - Živanović Miljković, Jelena AU - Gajić, Aleksandra PY - 2019 UR - https://raumplan.iaus.ac.rs/handle/123456789/521 AB - Demographic change, technological development and economic growth are seen in the group of the largest global challenges nowadays. Even though it might not be intentional, they are interconnected and play role of cause and consequence for each other. The nexus between demographics and technology and their interactions have the power to stimulate or to hinder growth, therefore the question what features demographic structure should have in order to push technology and economy forward is relevant to answer. Since the time known to humanity, global population increases. The increase has been also growing, meaning that humanity needed less and less time to reach additional billion – the 2 billionth, 3 billionth, 4 billionth, 5 billionth, and the 6 billionth took 123, 33, 14, 13, and 12 years, respectively. But, for the 7 billionth the humanity took 13 years, in addition to an estimation that the total population of the Earth will stop growing within the lifespan of people who live today. In addition, OECD estimates that there is going to be 51 elderly per 100 individuals of working age, which is only one among arguments proving another aspect of demographic change – aging population. This paper aims at better understating of relations between demography, technology and economy in urban context of Serbia. Statistical data at the level of cities, as they are defined by the Law on Territorial Organization of the Republic of Serbia (2007), are analysed regarding all three aspects, including depopulation, population aging, education structure, working population capacity, employment in technology, etc. The analysed sections of data are interpreted in mutual correlation, thus indicating features of demographic change and their expected outcomes in technology and economics. PB - Belgrade : Academy of Engineering Sciences of Serbia PB - Belgrade : University of Belgrade - Faculty of Geography C3 - International Scientific Conference: e-Future of Cities, 24-24 October 2019, Belgrade, Serbia T1 - Demographic Change as Opportunity or Constraint for Technological Development and Economic Growth in Cities of Serbia SP - 391 EP - 404 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_raumplan_521 ER -
@conference{ author = "Pantić, Marijana and Živanović Miljković, Jelena and Gajić, Aleksandra", year = "2019", abstract = "Demographic change, technological development and economic growth are seen in the group of the largest global challenges nowadays. Even though it might not be intentional, they are interconnected and play role of cause and consequence for each other. The nexus between demographics and technology and their interactions have the power to stimulate or to hinder growth, therefore the question what features demographic structure should have in order to push technology and economy forward is relevant to answer. Since the time known to humanity, global population increases. The increase has been also growing, meaning that humanity needed less and less time to reach additional billion – the 2 billionth, 3 billionth, 4 billionth, 5 billionth, and the 6 billionth took 123, 33, 14, 13, and 12 years, respectively. But, for the 7 billionth the humanity took 13 years, in addition to an estimation that the total population of the Earth will stop growing within the lifespan of people who live today. In addition, OECD estimates that there is going to be 51 elderly per 100 individuals of working age, which is only one among arguments proving another aspect of demographic change – aging population. This paper aims at better understating of relations between demography, technology and economy in urban context of Serbia. Statistical data at the level of cities, as they are defined by the Law on Territorial Organization of the Republic of Serbia (2007), are analysed regarding all three aspects, including depopulation, population aging, education structure, working population capacity, employment in technology, etc. The analysed sections of data are interpreted in mutual correlation, thus indicating features of demographic change and their expected outcomes in technology and economics.", publisher = "Belgrade : Academy of Engineering Sciences of Serbia, Belgrade : University of Belgrade - Faculty of Geography", journal = "International Scientific Conference: e-Future of Cities, 24-24 October 2019, Belgrade, Serbia", title = "Demographic Change as Opportunity or Constraint for Technological Development and Economic Growth in Cities of Serbia", pages = "391-404", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_raumplan_521" }
Pantić, M., Živanović Miljković, J.,& Gajić, A.. (2019). Demographic Change as Opportunity or Constraint for Technological Development and Economic Growth in Cities of Serbia. in International Scientific Conference: e-Future of Cities, 24-24 October 2019, Belgrade, Serbia Belgrade : Academy of Engineering Sciences of Serbia., 391-404. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_raumplan_521
Pantić M, Živanović Miljković J, Gajić A. Demographic Change as Opportunity or Constraint for Technological Development and Economic Growth in Cities of Serbia. in International Scientific Conference: e-Future of Cities, 24-24 October 2019, Belgrade, Serbia. 2019;:391-404. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_raumplan_521 .
Pantić, Marijana, Živanović Miljković, Jelena, Gajić, Aleksandra, "Demographic Change as Opportunity or Constraint for Technological Development and Economic Growth in Cities of Serbia" in International Scientific Conference: e-Future of Cities, 24-24 October 2019, Belgrade, Serbia (2019):391-404, https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_raumplan_521 .