Population dynamics and land cover changes of urban areas
Apstrakt
In order to enable efficient management of spatial development of cities, it is essential to analyse changes in land cover, in the 'consumption' of the land surrounding cities and the attained rationality with respect to the use of already urban land (reflected in the urban population density). This paper provides an overview of the land cover changes in the period between 1990 and 2006, and the potential correlation between the dynamics of the total population change on the one hand, and the land cover change on the other. The initial hypotheses of this paper are: (1) occupation and sealing of productive soil in peri-urban zones is not proportional to the population dynamics of cities and their metropolitan areas; and (2) expansion of soil sealing in peri-urban zones is not significantly affected by the differences with regard to the natural surroundings and historical development of cities, nor by these cities being developed cities or cities in transition, capitalistic or post-socia...list cities, etc. These hypotheses are tested and confirmed in the cases of three capital cities in South and Southeast Europe. Regarding the changes in population density, it can be concluded that central/inner-city municipalities became less populated, with sometimes very significant decrease in population density, but without any land cover change, which indicates 'depopulation'. At the same time, outer-city and peripheral municipalities also suffered a decline in population density, while their urban zones extended.
Ključne reči:
Belgrade / Land cover change / Population development and dynamics / Rome / SofiaIzvor:
Spatium, 2014, 1, 31, 22-29Izdavač:
- Institute of Architecture, Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia
Finansiranje / projekti:
- Transitioning towards Urban Resilience and Sustainability (EU-282834)
- Održivi prostorni razvoj Podunavlja u Srbiji (RS-36036)
- Uloga i implementacija državnog prostornog plana i regionalnih razvojnih dokumenata u obnovi strateškog istraživanja, mišljenja i upravljanja u Srbiji (RS-47014)
Grupa
RAUmPlanTY - JOUR AU - Krunić, Nikola AU - Maksin, Marija AU - Milijić, Saša AU - Bakić, Olgica AU - Đurđević, Jasmina PY - 2014 UR - https://raumplan.iaus.ac.rs/handle/123456789/236 AB - In order to enable efficient management of spatial development of cities, it is essential to analyse changes in land cover, in the 'consumption' of the land surrounding cities and the attained rationality with respect to the use of already urban land (reflected in the urban population density). This paper provides an overview of the land cover changes in the period between 1990 and 2006, and the potential correlation between the dynamics of the total population change on the one hand, and the land cover change on the other. The initial hypotheses of this paper are: (1) occupation and sealing of productive soil in peri-urban zones is not proportional to the population dynamics of cities and their metropolitan areas; and (2) expansion of soil sealing in peri-urban zones is not significantly affected by the differences with regard to the natural surroundings and historical development of cities, nor by these cities being developed cities or cities in transition, capitalistic or post-socialist cities, etc. These hypotheses are tested and confirmed in the cases of three capital cities in South and Southeast Europe. Regarding the changes in population density, it can be concluded that central/inner-city municipalities became less populated, with sometimes very significant decrease in population density, but without any land cover change, which indicates 'depopulation'. At the same time, outer-city and peripheral municipalities also suffered a decline in population density, while their urban zones extended. PB - Institute of Architecture, Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia T2 - Spatium T1 - Population dynamics and land cover changes of urban areas VL - 1 IS - 31 SP - 22 EP - 29 DO - 10.2298/SPAT1431022K ER -
@article{ author = "Krunić, Nikola and Maksin, Marija and Milijić, Saša and Bakić, Olgica and Đurđević, Jasmina", year = "2014", abstract = "In order to enable efficient management of spatial development of cities, it is essential to analyse changes in land cover, in the 'consumption' of the land surrounding cities and the attained rationality with respect to the use of already urban land (reflected in the urban population density). This paper provides an overview of the land cover changes in the period between 1990 and 2006, and the potential correlation between the dynamics of the total population change on the one hand, and the land cover change on the other. The initial hypotheses of this paper are: (1) occupation and sealing of productive soil in peri-urban zones is not proportional to the population dynamics of cities and their metropolitan areas; and (2) expansion of soil sealing in peri-urban zones is not significantly affected by the differences with regard to the natural surroundings and historical development of cities, nor by these cities being developed cities or cities in transition, capitalistic or post-socialist cities, etc. These hypotheses are tested and confirmed in the cases of three capital cities in South and Southeast Europe. Regarding the changes in population density, it can be concluded that central/inner-city municipalities became less populated, with sometimes very significant decrease in population density, but without any land cover change, which indicates 'depopulation'. At the same time, outer-city and peripheral municipalities also suffered a decline in population density, while their urban zones extended.", publisher = "Institute of Architecture, Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia", journal = "Spatium", title = "Population dynamics and land cover changes of urban areas", volume = "1", number = "31", pages = "22-29", doi = "10.2298/SPAT1431022K" }
Krunić, N., Maksin, M., Milijić, S., Bakić, O.,& Đurđević, J.. (2014). Population dynamics and land cover changes of urban areas. in Spatium Institute of Architecture, Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia., 1(31), 22-29. https://doi.org/10.2298/SPAT1431022K
Krunić N, Maksin M, Milijić S, Bakić O, Đurđević J. Population dynamics and land cover changes of urban areas. in Spatium. 2014;1(31):22-29. doi:10.2298/SPAT1431022K .
Krunić, Nikola, Maksin, Marija, Milijić, Saša, Bakić, Olgica, Đurđević, Jasmina, "Population dynamics and land cover changes of urban areas" in Spatium, 1, no. 31 (2014):22-29, https://doi.org/10.2298/SPAT1431022K . .